Record the context
Intent, evidence, policy, tools, approvals, and outcome become typed nodes—not one opaque blob.
Give every AI decision a portable record of what it saw, which rules applied, what it did, and who approved it. Every node is hashed. Every claim can be checked. No vendor trust required.
Observability tells you what happened inside one platform. A ReasoningReceipt gives you evidence that survives outside it—portable across models, clouds, chains, auditors, and time.
Intent, evidence, policy, tools, approvals, and outcome become typed nodes—not one opaque blob.
Canonical JSON makes each node byte-deterministic. One Merkle root commits the complete decision.
Recompute the whole receipt offline or prove one node without exposing the rest of the trace.
The core envelope only knows subjects, typed evidence nodes, canonical hashes, and a Merkle root. Your domain semantics stay in your application.
Prove what an autonomous agent intended, which tools it called, which policy allowed it, and what happened.
Attach tamper-evident evidence to refunds, underwriting, procurement, access grants, and human sign-off.
Export a portable audit artifact without coupling your application to one model, chain, or storage vendor.
Keep the original prediction-market ensemble as one reference adapter, with calibration and inclusion proofs.
The original oracle remains as a production reference: thousands of receipts, on-chain commitments, paid consumers, and outcome calibration.
| # | Market | Prob | Conf | Schema | When | On chain | Trace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5201 | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | 47.0% | 68% | v3·57pp | 2216h ago | 0x62680c3c… | open → |
| 5200 | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | 47.0% | 68% | v3·57pp | 2253h ago | 0x56a711e0… | open → |
| 5199 | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | 47.0% | 68% | v3·57pp | 2832h ago | 0xfbf21458… | open → |
| 5198 | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | 53.0% | 62% | v3·48pp | 2833h ago | 0x22bed5c5… | open → |
| 5197 | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | 59.0% | 62% | v3·32pp | 2834h ago | 0x078f1840… | open → |
| 5196 | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | 55.0% | 58% | v3·35pp | 2835h ago | 0x7c583094… | open → |
| 5195 | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | 52.0% | 62% | v3·52pp | 2836h ago | 0xad6bf48d… | open → |
| 5194 | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | 52.0% | 58% | v3·50pp | 2837h ago | 0x14f91a99… | open → |
| 5193 | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | 48.0% | 58% | v3·50pp | 2838h ago | 0xc1038dcb… | open → |
| 5192 | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | 52.0% | 55% | v3·45pp | 2838h ago | 0x052991c9… | open → |
| 5191 | How many 2026 FIFA World Cup matches will Donald Trump attend this season? | 52.0% | 65% | v3·38pp | 2839h ago | 0x04a1d44d… | open → |
| 5190 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 55.0% | 60% | v3·35pp | 2839h ago | 0x5a3cffd8… | open → |
| 5189 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 58.0% | 70% | v3·37pp | 2840h ago | 0xe8b0f41a… | open → |
| 5188 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 55.0% | 65% | v3·37pp | 2840h ago | 0x8a17fac6… | open → |
| 5187 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 54.0% | 62% | v3·38pp | 2841h ago | 0x498464b9… | open → |
| 5186 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 55.0% | 65% | v3·38pp | 2841h ago | 0xd3ac18fa… | open → |
| 5185 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 52.0% | 68% | v3·45pp | 2842h ago | 0x588e66cd… | open → |
| 5184 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 58.0% | 68% | v3·37pp | 2842h ago | 0xa692097a… | open → |
| 5183 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 54.0% | 58% | v3·38pp | 2843h ago | 0x5e4ec1b1… | open → |
| 5182 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 58.0% | 65% | v3·44pp | 2843h ago | 0x5d492ec8… | open → |
| 5181 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 52.0% | 68% | v3·38pp | 2845h ago | 0x0b874d1e… | open → |
| 5180 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 57.0% | 58% | v3·40pp | 2846h ago | 0x632713b0… | open → |
| 5179 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 52.0% | 68% | v3·35pp | 2846h ago | 0x8a64c02a… | open → |
| 5178 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 55.0% | 72% | v3·47pp | 2847h ago | 0x56ee53fc… | open → |
| 5177 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 48.0% | 63% | v3·38pp | 2848h ago | 0x0f60ae55… | open → |
| 5176 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 58.0% | 62% | v3·53pp | 2849h ago | 0x36188196… | open → |
| 5175 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 50.0% | 60% | v3·30pp | 2849h ago | 0xae8f9330… | open → |
| 5174 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 51.8% | 70% | v3·42pp | 2850h ago | 0x5952e6d9… | open → |
| 5173 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 54.0% | 65% | v3·37pp | 2850h ago | 0x6d0c3b70… | open → |
| 5172 | Will Donald J. Trump attend The 2026 FIFA World Cup Final? | 55.0% | 60% | v3·40pp | 2851h ago | 0xc8821294… | open → |