Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Receipt #2283 — settled on Arc.

Probability

24.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

840927

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x3a9609120eac9717e5c439b5d9b964f328f29e17ab138730eb7a678f1ac4a194

Trace CID

ar://HrQuztZxMaJ4YzMszQuui9k9FQuuRYEzJ5wVjjkozMNF

Arc tx

0x0c5013889e79c732ea68a99682cf7ac47a216ce1d249afd812a8f5feb2fa08a0

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:22:28 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.