Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?

Receipt #2284 — settled on Arc.

Probability

60.2%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2189966

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x9fb731cbab519dd2612904b826bef9c0e90d7a111de30ed62834bfdc7370635a

Trace CID

ar://A6pv2biBSPDMrNsvvgthYKG3h3JbV6e3dbXK6xWktVWK

Arc tx

0x3d6c9761b4db7695eeb17eef0b25dbf55dbf5b8b7dfff9a7dc634259f492ad53

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:23:10 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.