Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Receipt #2286 — settled on Arc.

Probability

50.8%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132776

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x13ddb370f4f293952fcd128707d433480eb104f0defa2905c516acf632c405a3

Trace CID

ar://EsbfsrEQ9ChQKLHgYwLF3igw4P5oivMtsFpH9avxamM7

Arc tx

0xe8f0235bff529de5f77e70f3e8bbc0a6bb36cba777cd15d3576ab033a7dedb5e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:25:12 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.