Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

Receipt #2288 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.0%

Confidence

50.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2242083

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xf7009df5e8725c72ba6e606a7366a3bf435448e64f8a7913d626361402add94c

Trace CID

ar://DyNvynZiNTKe8y6SGMuStgrd6WWaoasnbjXAR44TawXV

Arc tx

0x251118ebca4b0df7cd66f72b099f7ffd9c2c25807ee937257a76b872700c6255

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:27:07 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.