Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Receipt #2289 — settled on Arc.

Probability

22.0%

Confidence

82.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

840927

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x46b7b97eaa60df4bf7f0806f7286150af23f27dddeb8ef382895ef50a9cc395d

Trace CID

ar://DnNdU4ftp4bdAiMcx6tauPubVnjWD7Wpg8uUBGLMQJ3b

Arc tx

0x8a5781e72fc7b2319d12aca7ac046755bae7ff90c7d75b3b39602433eda5a6fb

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:29:05 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.