Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Receipt #2292 — settled on Arc.

Probability

55.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132776

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x098595ea29dd36bbb051ddb03f592f4af26f415a594a5ecae51e1e707519b7c7

Trace CID

ar://6npn79YFNV7UYF87HUzrkwWVuCNsgqtainEvKSupLJwf

Arc tx

0xef6f94edbdbcce23d159bf2665ffae45d36effe15869b3eacbaa62f9f0936412

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:32:10 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.