ReasoningReceipt ·oracle
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Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Receipt #2293 — settled on Arc.

Probability
58.0%
Confidence
65.0%
Loading reasoning trace from Irys…
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Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id
2159863
Source
polymarket
Trace hash
0xcc78a0ff8b090dfda843acb3cb5ca41cf97990903109ccbae7f51595c67378d4
Trace CID
ar://CryNiTw6CSYtvm7vNey7qHDxQet5Dzhrvbdrn9vnaWC7
Arc tx
0x9c30cdf3394cb9e16662189be1454590779445ccbbf1278ea249ee5c79013301
Consumer
Paid
0.000000 USDC
Created
2026-05-14 07:32:40 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.