Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?

Receipt #2294 — settled on Arc.

Probability

60.6%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2189966

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x81b46c431f957a49e8bf5abda18febc672777428183c224b72b0e142ba6e7e36

Trace CID

ar://FMxQrL7jTz12y4oCYfc14kEXtf427R9aBt9siRi9Y285

Arc tx

0xa03c5e40b7655ca6898beaadb8f147ec426333a72dd2ee4213164b52ee64ddf0

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:33:04 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.