Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

Receipt #2296 — settled on Arc.

Probability

61.6%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2242083

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xc57c0c456a1c9df74474a96bffe99af6ff164e81b6a264e2a1f69a6321f85e60

Trace CID

ar://FfmZBN1MN1SNSind31UUP58fFqrfBEPPCbkyaDzFNea8

Arc tx

0xa6361a0540d3f55bc98c56b79a34610bc57186213ea4a7f8f353f74c024e592d

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:35:10 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.