Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2297 — settled on Arc.

Probability

48.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xaab551476571a663767ae65f90d1e97028e256b34b6edc9864714e8434afe5ae

Trace CID

ar://42V4p1UgU454XNS2qVHQYa5mwziEctYXsTXWTC5kXGpS

Arc tx

0x033cd90a0587bffb1f6696690c2852855fcef7d28a512c89f4221bc8a665b20c

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:35:44 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.