Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Receipt #2298 — settled on Arc.

Probability

25.0%

Confidence

78.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

840927

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x2b2ece64f252bfde382ba6e0e37bea845d6f0c5f1e65ad199a9ef45eebc89ebd

Trace CID

ar://44vdhErPxD4jwPf9PH1S2TZVFUuJbXfWnTCWaxQxUvxk

Arc tx

0x3117d3af12a65c18039a6e26e65ff2147e5b67871fcc76df1c5e641237b95b7f

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:38:14 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.