Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Receipt #2299 — settled on Arc.

Probability

58.0%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132776

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x488f4ec185feb0863b22f86c2501ef464d26be570b0cc29c810feaaba92e2e8b

Trace CID

ar://8cRGnTHzZkr9jMKoTSjqmeKJhru7TSz2rSpRPTPGJMD5

Arc tx

0xbec1104438d9716bd93469bfe4fb945524574e8fef2d64dad9a2f2628ba69c3f

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:38:55 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.