Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?

Receipt #2301 — settled on Arc.

Probability

61.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2189966

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xb4d5ee48072cb028dabbd7384644dcf732620d92cb657b7a39294453d11b1242

Trace CID

ar://9GWbYGhq6dWQ3SpRkGVfBXmm3LXyXuVW73WVfV89D5fx

Arc tx

0x23007d1d73637e522437dccbb3127cc037a0e3e56260d4cf8cfd655ea6c3db52

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:41:45 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.