Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Receipt #2303 — settled on Arc.

Probability

18.0%

Confidence

82.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

840927

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x71fc62629156ad077546c2c6de7311e7995c877521d5338b8ddbca0682251ac4

Trace CID

ar://4ZatHxKYuhwCft1G55A7gzrGVSu7yJM85EYyHkQQZfBz

Arc tx

0xfd5cb3b47df733d3182e7a0f3e0ce1c04b598bb26840a0ed2e48bd6c943773b8

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:44:04 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.