Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

Receipt #2304 — settled on Arc.

Probability

58.0%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2242083

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x7cf5ea7933eaed2f599d571b8835e5ff45fce40403171c6831909154727a446f

Trace CID

ar://8ArCN4qckykTPGbHDkTrYLEgDQvuAZ9hxKRy75DwKFK1

Arc tx

0x5e580e331a428bd28df936672f5655401da320d0263510ac39b21a495e2d3dc8

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:44:29 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.