Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Receipt #2306 — settled on Arc.

Probability

48.6%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132776

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xfee67126a888e9ce6d364e10c07afba78d18dead1f83c5bcdc0a2af494fa9a2b

Trace CID

ar://88WgfMoQQk7quxwjPPXsoi5aZasVhQ2yX8ANReDYVTfx

Arc tx

0x36cc3bac8efa773f08c4f7f5545d9eb49001c901f64db133dfa4e9eacb852053

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:46:31 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.