Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?

Receipt #2309 — settled on Arc.

Probability

72.0%

Confidence

75.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2189966

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x50e4b94c3846059132e2ae1180685ca94945b23067e84a94e21d0371f220f309

Trace CID

ar://BWP6vaozgbnnYan5CikqtNBhEx4TZVKCBe4ZJ89hAcni

Arc tx

0xc240b15604fb1b6d273d6be50dc1fc296912bc086ab57ab3dc2dca3221116e11

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:49:38 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.