Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2311 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.8%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xa8c7623824582e3af73ba666caef6f5e21ab656a974ab00dff86828a1e050ae0

Trace CID

ar://CAMs3dB2unrwaps5sd8mDu9NtQ6qibSfSExhNXy9pEj2

Arc tx

0xcfe446cc89dc437dd8c20ceb0531deeaf90859fcc7dfb871f55053dae26d72f3

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:50:29 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.