Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Receipt #2312 — settled on Arc.

Probability

23.0%

Confidence

78.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

840927

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xc2a83b962df1fc28b0f6f1d6077eb69306699357ef48b1d0181e52267211e799

Trace CID

ar://8nyHKVr3qU4QAuS27nwDQcUfEiV6eouzJ7cFaW6fHCYg

Arc tx

0x7c96796e585f06f97dce1b892a1def033098141747585c3787722f36c5f801ba

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:52:22 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.