Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

Receipt #2313 — settled on Arc.

Probability

50.0%

Confidence

55.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2242083

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xd28bd1b55ea82995cb1057871d3486ae280933a5e0cc1adb1135722e8bdd61ba

Trace CID

ar://CamUKuBioip7L17YSPhp4gQ2kWPMuuEXDFbZBvvjxjKo

Arc tx

0x59378087e25c7d08a311d899aacdad87e82d04f94a222086ce8dfae5914853c5

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:53:05 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.