Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Receipt #2314 — settled on Arc.

Probability

48.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132776

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x7bab812a564da05d57a5c95d0c4aaf2d2727332a89cc9bd7e2c6c37a436ee22c

Trace CID

ar://GuvNLMZ3mJLRnmfTTFaVsayjbY4ATDQq3hhppKeEvSK5

Arc tx

0x283018f50bb173466cb0688f11aa97df98732ab2db89c6b84ac46ffd06a64a9d

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:55:20 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.