Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?

Receipt #2317 — settled on Arc.

Probability

56.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2189966

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xb8736c4c62b842a32493f2b3627f63ae5d3d1adf98b61015ac247c15798d8b4c

Trace CID

ar://C9BPsRtfyb5Funhu4PwoZhpzy1ADgXnzo6SU5Rv6mcjQ

Arc tx

0x8c82bedaff9d4d9e85730e30084df4cb733c85d881c074b1f423f0f2f8b0c942

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 07:57:56 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.