Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Receipt #2320 — settled on Arc.

Probability

22.0%

Confidence

82.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

840927

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x075cbd5935ff5b995033ac8cdc4d9f5a3f8e22f434c506ee6125c51cf759fd92

Trace CID

ar://25XAycui6j9bh38VXivFGiL8zTtKmH7cfGgVTEmyxMZM

Arc tx

0xdefd07ae58b6b4647f8b00be5c25ec9a90dd6ebd579044baf3c20fb727e460a0

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:00:21 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.