Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Receipt #2322 — settled on Arc.

Probability

48.0%

Confidence

70.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132776

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xce601d86d23ce7fcbc3304b1ad95e7f2306d626b0a047490cb0e130ff56efccc

Trace CID

ar://DhRbw6zgzX86k2ZggYM4iNN41JfeH2ELGRW5LRmC4Ux1

Arc tx

0x25b6d960f4b4a62934426d46374638f1e188fc3bb7e87b8ef73742cc30b6b661

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:03:34 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.