Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?

Receipt #2325 — settled on Arc.

Probability

54.4%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2242083

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x57a18298df12e3004b1cdba6aaddf70240dfbbf62c83ef8e108d7e571fffab1b

Trace CID

ar://FoagdgnYGHk1PEVwPzzM5LGZgsjJbA76touxtFSZUZRG

Arc tx

0x60c5ad67b5906d0af644056badba1e6c08fc5014fb784b3e5b5259fdd74393b2

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:07:01 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.