Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Receipt #2326 — settled on Arc.

Probability

17.0%

Confidence

82.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

840927

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xfc7d460ee2eb73a4202ebe0c2af7811540093fe77839c23dc665377c2bbbe726

Trace CID

ar://2HjPvneReUMpJqd72iJVMWPLjZ3pSgjoY64eNtUbRgLU

Arc tx

0x431156efab1810db6668afe06bba0fcef8977d5462f16d3b9c86ded407842365

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:07:25 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.