Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?

Receipt #2327 — settled on Arc.

Probability

55.0%

Confidence

58.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2189966

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xdab9d9f0dd028951787ebf6a6f577298e6b20757bfa11191e0c961eec789eaf3

Trace CID

ar://CnkMovMCJXnkQQatYkCahUucWs9kF662HFoeUcArfT9R

Arc tx

0xcdf2e444c591e26fbd974d90df43a617ca2d066cd0fc2b0ed36d66cba624f340

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:08:01 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.