Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Receipt #2328 — settled on Arc.

Probability

56.0%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132776

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xe09f1514c1e34dcde24d0dabd57fa9f567136c335b0927de40f4e7d40230b044

Trace CID

ar://4mFZAQR6Gjma2eLq11eRd8DUbrw4g5AR8k7vAEdRs4ES

Arc tx

0x7a77ec616b093ea97bc4dc7491a1c8529d03bfcc8183d14d9031af42c810468e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:09:39 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.