Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2333 — settled on Arc.

Probability

57.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x1d83326ccca983002076adbd5947071abd0b8060e128383cdad07c54d29bb380

Trace CID

ar://ER6Yeh53ztyi1RHNLTKQwJcKryaEC4FdqbAYLdDphFfR

Arc tx

0xc8e5c310dcdeb5f209e748dfe21559166fa9010e4a711dcbdcd051771088a52e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:14:27 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.