Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Receipt #2334 — settled on Arc.

Probability

47.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132776

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x27654d23425642f2bd9a42381a048dd8e509f3941f2398f56e20844455b9a45b

Trace CID

ar://3GfSxj9UD6gXMkJvcrwUrjy5TQz1444mW7vneGsJGxxy

Arc tx

0xf2628cde25d0e1448eecba6fdf833034638560204d86288a0ae6de4519d64c25

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:17:06 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.