Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?

Receipt #2335 — settled on Arc.

Probability

67.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2189966

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x95242ada4aecca104355081aa7d43839ce04479756a9b0dd9c0e58c85ad64799

Trace CID

ar://B9KPr9iSH4eNgGjcBz2z2NnGNz8hNrdxVzwiUpy1HXPW

Arc tx

0x6f88e989227b197785705483b1b6d1daff063974cce5c9d35a21c45de644c040

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:17:50 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.