Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Receipt #2338 — settled on Arc.

Probability

46.7%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132776

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xd1bb61444780c17cfdf6973ec9a744ec9bd68dfe3e473ddbd621555f4c456e7a

Trace CID

ar://FG5EJ3gu4o4r2zWF2guzhkZnj2YHBycqjz8Q5AtmLdG9

Arc tx

0x96dbeb8cf29b7ffd579a2fe7d92955ef5cb5defd21bc7fd709c958b1bbd6066b

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:24:08 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.