Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2341 — settled on Arc.

Probability

42.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xd0ac7835927b90e3834c9a6fd7a9d0bc21a7ca3a0c3ae7bda09775e3e412a5bd

Trace CID

ar://3XTkToFyErEW9H4ixW34h3TG3FFuAtiki4dmSngZr2B3

Arc tx

0x805bbcf3bfd02c6030c33f512fe849ea8a7d123c6fff17475e5cbc6b0e39f374

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:26:43 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.