Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Receipt #2344 — settled on Arc.

Probability

43.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2241871

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x26cc600c1f8569c400aeedd34fa355c1109a28e7eb16e84b8757e1d01ccd683f

Trace CID

ar://Eyv39en61hBTG5CdGm3rBoRd7ZdSDqJuhgaJzXvznDtj

Arc tx

0x6b10457c1611a682b47fbd6c5872a842a5f13b084f2e46c6a41ab5079ebcec4c

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:30:30 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.