Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?

Receipt #2345 — settled on Arc.

Probability

64.0%

Confidence

78.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2189966

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x6a88fa613a4e65a2c646c97022c2eaefdb108bfcfaff404d7791e4aa8c0a6827

Trace CID

ar://59swvpZHMJLErDQApfEr7ArbjBSU7tVUckHeKmhJwrnC

Arc tx

0x63b213dce81239cbe81c54bf49c1dc6d0152d8fa76c91eb86b8f6f2a39657c89

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:32:15 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.