Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Receipt #2346 — settled on Arc.

Probability

45.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132776

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xb7089b635c859f0be80eec3ec30f5d84894d7e798c70f6cc1a89c0b08e6e6a3d

Trace CID

ar://7GoNGGiA2W9ZNsPW3NrMJkU9wjgpB41i4m2XR7YKrRC7

Arc tx

0x15a7938fa5b677667fe8ef331ab2c3fa0cff4c3c6bca306d024198443ec672d4

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:32:56 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.