Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2348 — settled on Arc.

Probability

31.0%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x83bfd18a4c539d79df8a9ef5a8d550afc9ad96af1aa30c53bb4e80f117caab04

Trace CID

ar://BY6stmhrFPeZkMDF7YywaZNY4vLdiyFXub3qGWk915Lt

Arc tx

0x734a8a0e8d1f4a6b280bc84c0b1eb1b8c7c931decd52fee7d135a9b9b81fcaf7

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:36:38 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.