Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Receipt #2350 — settled on Arc.

Probability

43.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132776

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x014d2884a238ed5d3b08c4f708ef0afeb383e93229049acb3784eda66af61339

Trace CID

ar://BQx2xvJ9ihf1fshgFYTWu8thh118VV1nGtL7vQLRuLVE

Arc tx

0xea63daeac7ae5280586041a0b3621aab3ae70d1c1bbafd09025fdf01e8100539

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:40:02 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.