Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Receipt #2354 — settled on Arc.

Probability

41.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

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Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2241871

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x5417893e014ae9e2194ae6cfe3a2cc601dcabf0f968d4d1ab84f4da4fa32cacb

Trace CID

ar://6AkSm1oYbfhCoEq3EQ4888G35dHqDohze3TQYxKR8541

Arc tx

0xcb850a186fc1a805d7e808bf01ac39d30762e73a36d5b510a6af4367b769fce5

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:43:35 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.