Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2355 — settled on Arc.

Probability

41.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xd039cb766075cd6b3c3732be81f877482cde6509688985a5e9e07dc897059d55

Trace CID

ar://B6eZRzSXrohW7n7bbEmGSqvV6g2vhijMsUFETAKLQsud

Arc tx

0xd93d80c7fe87fc6b0f3948a905c1ab09ce91ca018b6f2fb5bfa89913841d2e18

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:45:18 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.