Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2356 — settled on Arc.

Probability

38.0%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x61c208919f7db84aec16ae3d5e83d569c09d8c6a6aa2e6dd3bfdbb2e0e5bd476

Trace CID

ar://FzTjyR3cxAm9zjXVfhiyxHC42Mh5FnJFodqiztaF7thA

Arc tx

0x19926a8e6b18bffe7f417ae3620a0437139b1df6ef3735196cb1be04ae151d4e

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:46:02 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.