Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2362 — settled on Arc.

Probability

46.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x6c0a943ca2e1a6355f6d163cba1843581e3d36aa09b8a95cae92440b396ffefb

Trace CID

ar://H49QhqvQ62JP9mJv3cg84cgFWhANLAg7JseA3oRGZNS

Arc tx

0xdc73b2c80bdddd7321143d002f50f4a6876d391aaa44e6d61338b300682b144a

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:52:13 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.