Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2363 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xf7a2bb2a010cb37e1ce23dc88f47deb8b0838b6c98d24b19593700e4f2e669a4

Trace CID

ar://3R74p5SoShwP9CnCHKJ2yF2pTmyWxH7CrhQg8YTqcFCK

Arc tx

0x592a5348fa2ecd89d6a774d65ffa9a7ca6410ddba04a854b580d65d21407f343

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:54:02 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.