Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2367 — settled on Arc.

Probability

39.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x3e13a6525315713a8677f0b43c9c643c0a7990a141616247297027fa4baa5e1a

Trace CID

ar://EZT1nkBzwtV6ohDdEZZB9hV5GUqGCsWQrvZ8Bv55Au8m

Arc tx

0x003ad1785b2fc4a5abed2cbaa984910ff93d1e150f1640c5ac23bbd4a3c01a58

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 08:58:23 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.