Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2369 — settled on Arc.

Probability

50.1%

Confidence

72.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x3530c4ad321040751036c4f34383cc6c198292d91ea9e8623d8f9e9e6e4b479c

Trace CID

ar://7zStTaCeC2xf3tosrXJCwmRB5hJ6Fy8aSxgcHGCYsEdy

Arc tx

0x6b035e85b3288e8794a882e00cdf00c25a7adf884e7ea86c4567c0a88fc8cf37

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:00:27 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.