Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2372 — settled on Arc.

Probability

37.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xf04f234a8cd5b466698afa62f5eaccce80d3f147d10d284895a82d7798f679b4

Trace CID

ar://9WFDemL4M9VxfA7jH6JiBq1dZcxJVxen3zy7LzbHs6iB

Arc tx

0xfd7eb09f276baa5b316e36fec465bdd5e4aaacdae2548d9a141fbdb0843c3453

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:05:36 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.