Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2375 — settled on Arc.

Probability

52.0%

Confidence

68.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0x1dedae4980719bf1a9f53ce2a9c019258e97526007145a655f2acf34a62f7148

Trace CID

ar://BByyW3JWteFNGWYQ3q6h1wmzEBSj7NKsBUrpNihzW1bD

Arc tx

0x1248bb0249704221be6195aea6adfd7e96117b25330598e3791a45e3724cd435

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:08:11 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.