Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Receipt #2379 — settled on Arc.

Probability

45.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2232159

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xd8a19f8759f897cb598fb76a9922b93df40caada0ef38f33dd4d1170eb50ef4b

Trace CID

ar://7FK7fdtG5cyfCZ9CJ3MT2vf8H3JHWLW8dRuDPx2szPuj

Arc tx

0xf126545b5fcc69d78e54122adf2e18de2f275023e10e6b999a0239fdbcee61ec

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:12:35 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.