Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?

Receipt #2381 — settled on Arc.

Probability

47.0%

Confidence

65.0%

Loading reasoning trace from Irys…

Verify trace

Pull the trace JSON from Irys, re-canonicalise, re-hash, compare to the value bound on Arc. Anyone can re-run this client-side.

Market id

2132779

Source

polymarket

Trace hash

0xe7ba691cbd2efb283cebf09a47749beab656bd4338cfe253e847aef588b5be00

Trace CID

ar://Gsaq8ketsT7fBHX9HjHNho2cjSmS9wrCUK4cwXBCKNZX

Arc tx

0x61e94fe232fa0bbe5edffeded3dcb52d61e6c9c2b3a02320122447bccc784fef

Consumer

—

Paid

0.000000 USDC

Created

2026-05-14 09:15:47 UTC

The full reasoning trace lives at the CID above (Irys / IPFS-compatible). The hash on Arc binds this row to the exact JSON that the analyst produced.